Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.013318 0.016344 0.020204 0.025617 0.033233 0.043943 0.060893
2025-02-09 0.009639 0.012943 0.017757 0.025705 0.039471 0.064694 0.122138
2025-02-16 0.007812 0.011087 0.016284 0.025879 0.045298 0.089785 0.236338
2025-02-23 0.006610 0.009758 0.015075 0.025769 0.050365 0.119435 0.461335
2025-03-02 0.005608 0.008501 0.013598 0.024493 0.052065 0.143517 0.823150
2025-03-09 0.004938 0.007664 0.012654 0.023939 0.055275 0.179167 1.756247
2025-03-16 0.004524 0.007194 0.012280 0.024501 0.062188 0.247459 6.298036
2025-03-23 0.004142 0.006716 0.011781 0.024583 0.067858 0.330701 42.807064
2025-03-30 0.003728 0.006118 0.010918 0.023452 0.068481 0.387347 850.908952
2025-04-06 0.003419 0.005683 0.010326 0.022874 0.071076 0.480673 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003239 0.005474 0.010193 0.023561 0.080046 0.721920 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003128 0.005386 0.010312 0.025063 0.095152 1.311432 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003005 0.005290 0.010468 0.027049 0.118736 3.352524 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002800 0.004998 0.010102 0.027179 0.132160 7.416210 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002624 0.004745 0.009783 0.027369 0.147686 22.267932 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002458 0.004492 0.009420 0.027250 0.161522 103.179117 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002268 0.004165 0.008803 0.025874 0.160619 338.864470 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002125 0.003930 0.008402 0.025276 0.168229 70694.662470 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002034 0.003806 0.008284 0.025882 0.193903 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.001937 0.003655 0.008069 0.025971 0.214668 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001813 0.003431 0.007611 0.024752 0.211910 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001716 0.003263 0.007295 0.024130 0.219185 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001661 0.003190 0.007252 0.024869 0.257706 NaN NaN